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HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  15A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM EDT SAT OCT 16 1999
 
...IRENE HEADING FOR THE CAROLINAS...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO THE NORTH
CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE SOUND.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA
TO VERO BEACH FLORIDA.
 
ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 8 PM EDT...0000Z...THE BROAD CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.8 WEST OR ABOUT 250
MILES SOUTH OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...
MAINLY NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  A WIND GUST TO 68 MPH WAS
REPORTED RECENTLY AT ST. AUGUSTINE FLORIDA. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255
MILES.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  984 MB...29.06 INCHES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS WITH ONSHORE WINDS.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IRENE.  GIVEN THE SATURATED CONDITIONS...
ESPECIALLY IN NORTH CAROLINA...EVEN MODEST ADDITIONAL RAINS COULD
PRODUCE SERIOUS FLOODING.  SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM EDT POSITION...29.3 N... 79.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM EDT.
 
PASCH
 
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