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ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 2 AM EDT SUN OCT 17 1999 ...IRENE CONTINUING NORTH TOWARD THE CAROLINAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALSO REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO NEW SMYRNA BEACH FLORIDA. ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 2 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 185 MILES SOUTH OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST...WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED... IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER ...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES. THE MAYPORT NAVAL STATION NEAR JACKSONVILLE RECENTLY REPORTED A WIND GUST TO 56 MPH. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS WITH ONSHORE WINDS. ADDITIONAL RAINS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IRENE. GIVEN THE SATURATED CONDITIONS... ESPECIALLY IN NORTH CAROLINA...EVEN MODEST ADDITIONAL RAINS COULD PRODUCE SERIOUS FLOODING. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. REPEATING THE 2 AM EDT POSITION...30.2 N... 79.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 5 AM EDT. BEVEN/GUINEY NNNN