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ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM BULLETIN HURRICANE IRENE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 17A NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL 8 AM EDT SUN OCT 17 1999 ...RAINBANDS OF IRENE SPREADING INTO THE CAROLINAS... A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING PAMLICO SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CAPE HATTERAS TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER...INCLUDING ALBEMARLE SOUND. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF SAVANNAH GEORGIA TO ST AUGUSTINE BEACH FLORIDA. ALL INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE. AT 8 AM EDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.9 WEST OR ABOUT 115 MILES SOUTH OF CHARLESTON SOUTH CAROLINA. IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 10 MPH...AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED ARE EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS...IN A SMALL AREA MOSTLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER. LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 90 MILES FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 255 MILES. THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 982 MB...29.00 INCHES. STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FT ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER VALUES IN BAYS...IS POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL. A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE ELSEWHERE OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS WITH ONSHORE WINDS. ADDITIONAL RAINS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS... ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IRENE. GIVEN THE SATURATED CONDITIONS... ESPECIALLY IN NORTH CAROLINA...EVEN MODEST ADDITIONAL RAINS COULD PRODUCE SERIOUS FLOODING. SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES. REPEATING THE 8 AM EDT POSITION...31.2 N... 79.9 W. MOVEMENT TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB. THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT 11 AM EDT. FRANKLIN STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC. NNNN