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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST MON OCT 18 1999
 
...FIRST RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATES JOSE...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JOSE.
 
EARLY REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT AIRCRAFT INVESTIGATING
TROPICAL STORM JOSE INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF CIRCULATION HAS
REFORMED TO THE NORTH.  AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.1
WEST OR ABOUT 305 MILES...490 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.
 
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 11 MPH...18 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND JOSE COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...12.2 N... 55.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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