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HURRICANE JOSE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 8A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST TUE OCT 19 1999

....LONGITUDE IS 59.0 W

...JOSE GRADUALLY APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR DOMINICA...MONTSERRAT
... ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS...
SABA...DUTCH ST MAARTEN...AND ANGUILLA.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF FRANCE...ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH INSTEAD OF A
HURRICANE WARNING FOR MARTINIQUE...GUADELOUPE AND SURROUNDING
ISLANDS...FRENCH ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.  THE GOVERNMENT OF
FRANCE ISSUES A HURRICANE WARNING SIX TO NINE HOURS IN ADVANCE.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ISSUED FOR ST. LUCIA AND REMAINS IN
EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST.
LUCIA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...AND FOR PUERTO RICO. 
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JOSE. 

A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT AND ITS EFFECTS COVER A LARGE AREA.  DO
NOT FOCUS ONLY ON THE TRACK.
 
AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.0 WEST OR ABOUT 155 MILES...250
KM...EAST SOUTH EAST OF DOMINICA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES.
 
JOSE IS MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS. ON THIS TRACK JOSE SHOULD BE OVER PORTIONS OF THE LESSER
ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY BUT THE WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE
LATER TODAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...IN A SMALL
AREA TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. 
SUBSTANTIALLY HIGHER WIND GUSTS COULD BE EXPERIENCED IN ISLANDS WITH
HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS
EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST AND
EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS 992 MB...29.29 INCHES.

RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF
JOSE.

TIDES WILL BE HIGHER THAN NORMAL AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND BATTERING WAVES. 

REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...14.8 N... 59.0 W.  MOVEMENT
BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.
 
AVILA
 
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