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HURRICANE JOSE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM AST TUE OCT 19 1999

...HURRICANE JOSE NEARING THE LESSER ANTILLES...WEATHER SHOULD 
BEGIN TO DETERIORATE TONIGHT...ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED 
TO COMPLETION...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...PUERTO RICO...DOMINICA...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA
...NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS...SABA...DUTCH ST MAARTEN...
AND ANGUILLA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE...GUADELOUPE AND
SURROUNDING ISLANDS...FRENCH ST. MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.  
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR ST. LUCIA AND
BARBADOS.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JOSE.

A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT AND ITS EFFECTS COVER A LARGE AREA.  
DO NOT FOCUS ONLY ON THE TRACK.
 
AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS ESTIMATED
NEAR LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  59.6 WEST OR ABOUT 110
MILES... 180 KM...EAST OF DOMINICA IN THE LESSER ANTILLES.  
 
JOSE HAS BEEN MOVING BETWEEN WEST-NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 
13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...JOSE SHOULD MOVE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE LESSER ANTILLES ON WEDNESDAY BUT WEATHER SHOULD
BEGIN TO DETERIORATE LATER TONIGHT. 

AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE IS NEAR THE CENTER OF JOSE AND
SHOULD SOON PROVIDE MORE PRECISE INFORMATION ON THE LOCATION AND
MOVEMENT OF THE HURRICANE.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 75 MPH...120 KM/HR...CONFINED TO 
A SMALL AREA EAST OF THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY OVER
ISLANDS WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES...35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD 
UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM..MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 992 MB...29.29 IN.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF
JOSE.
 
TIDES WILL BE HIGHER THAN NORMAL AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...15.4 N... 59.6 W.  MOVEMENT
BETWEEN WEST NORTHWEST AND NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...75 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.

GUINEY/PASCH
 
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