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HURRICANE JOSE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM AST WED OCT 20 1999
 
...JOSE NEARING THE LEEWARD ISLANDS...WEATHER SHOULD BEGIN TO WORSEN
SOON...ALL PREPARATIONS SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR...DOMINICA...GUADELOUPE
AND THE SURROUNDING ISLANDS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...
NEVIS...ST. KITTS...ST EUSTATIUS...SABA...DUTCH ST MAARTEN...
ANGUILLA...THE BRITISH AND U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS...AND PUERTO RICO.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR MARTINIQUE...FRENCH ST.
MARTIN AND ST. BARTHELEMY.
 
INTERESTS IN THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF JOSE.
 
AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE JOSE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  60.3 WEST OR ABOUT 85 MILES...135
KM...EAST OF GUADELOUPE IN THE LESSER ANTILLES.
 
JOSE IS MOVING NORTHWESTWARD NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR.  A MOTION
BETWEEN NORTHWEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST AT ABOUT THE SAME FORWARD SPEED
IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK...JOSE WILL MOVE
NEAR OR OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.  WEATHER
CONDITIONS SHOULD BEGIN TO DETERIORATE OVER SOME OF THESE ISLANDS IN
A FEW HOURS.
 
A HURRICANE IS NOT A POINT AND ITS EFFECTS COVER A LARGE AREA.
DO NOT FOCUS ONLY ON THE TRACK.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  80 MPH...130 KM/HR...CONFINED TO A
SMALL AREA EAST OF THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY OVER
ISLANDS WITH HIGHER ELEVATIONS.  SOME INCREASE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES...185 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS  982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF
JOSE.  HIGHER RAINFALL TOTALS ARE POSSIBLE OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.
 
TIDES WILL BE HIGHER THAN NORMAL AND WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE
AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES.
 
REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...16.4 N... 60.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 AM AST.
 
BEVEN
 
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