HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE LENNY INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  14A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM AST TUE NOV 16 1999

...DANGEROUS HURRICANE LENNY HEADED FOR THE ISLANDS OF THE
NORTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.  A HURRICANE WARNING IS ALSO IN EFFECT
FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...ST. EUSTATIUS...SABA...ANGUILLA...NEVIS...  
AND ST. KITTS.  

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR
MONTSERRAT...BARBUDA...AND ANTIGUA.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM PUNTA PALENQUE ON THE SOUTH COAST TO SABANA
DE LA MAR ON THE NORTH COAST. 
 
THE FRENCH GOVERNMENT MAY ISSUE A HURRICANE WATCH LATER TODAY FOR
THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS UNDER THEIR RESPONSIBILITY.
 
AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.6 WEST OR ABOUT 205 MILES...330
KM...SOUTHWEST OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CORE OF THE HURRICANE SHOULD BE NEARING
THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 12 HOURS.  WEATHER CONDITIONS WILL
BE WORSENING OVER THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 115 MPH...185 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LENNY IS A DANGEROUS CATEGORY 3 HURRICANE ON THE
SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  STRONGER WINDS COULD BE EXPERIENCED
IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS AND OVER UNPROTECTED SOUTH AND WEST FACING
HARBORS.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 175 MILES...280 KM.
 
AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 960 MB...28.35 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS IN
MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS ARE ASSOCIATED WITH THE HURRICANE.  SAN JUAN
DOPPLER RADAR SHOWS RAINBANDS CONTINUING TO APPROACH THE SOUTH COAST
OF PUERTO RICO. 

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER THE WARNING AREA.  
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 7 FT ABOVE NORMAL...ACCOMPANIED BY
LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES...IS POSSIBLE NEAR THE CENTER IN
THE WARNED AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...15.9 N... 67.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...115
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 960 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 PM AST.
 
PASCH
 
NNNN