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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST TUE JUN 15 1999

...ARLENE A CONTINUED THREAT TO BERMUDA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 29.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  61.7 WEST OR ABOUT 255
MILES...410 KM...SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH... 7 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED IN THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES.
 
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS ENROUTE TO ARLENE
AND IS SCHEDULED TO REACH THE STORM AROUND 7 AM AST.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...29.7 N... 61.7 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 45
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
AST.
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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