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TROPICAL STORM ARLENE ADVISORY NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST WED JUN 16 1999
 
...ARLENE EDGES CLOSER TO BERMUDA...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ARLENE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.4 WEST
OR ABOUT 155 MILES...250 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA.
 
ARLENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH... 11
KM/HR...AND THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE WITH A
GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED TONIGHT.
 
REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATE THE
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE NOW DECREASED TO NEAR  50 MPH... 85
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS LIKELY
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES
...165 KM...MAINLY NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.  A CRUISE SHIP NEAR
BERMUDA...THE NORWEGIAN CROWN...IS REPORTING SWELLS TO 12 FEET.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.88 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...31.2 N... 62.4 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM AST.
 
FRANKLIN/JARVINEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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