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BULLETIN
HURRICANE BRET ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SAT AUG 21 1999
CORRECTION NO. 2...CHANGE SOUTHEAST TO SOUTH TEXAS IN HEADLINE...

...HURRICANE BRET THREATENS SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO...
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FROM LA
PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.  A HURRICANE WATCH
REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA SOUTHWARD TO TUXPAN MEXICO.
 
ALL INTERESTS ALONG THE TEXAS COAST NORTH OF THE WARNING AREA SHOULD
CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS HURRICANE.
 
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  94.9 WEST OR ABOUT 235 MILES...380
KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR.  A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  90 MPH...150 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  978 MB...28.88 INCHES.
 
OUTER RAIN BANDS MAY SPREAD ACROSS THE WESTERN GULF OF MEXICO COAST
IN THE WARNING AREA DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  THESE BANDS COULD
PRODUCE PERIODS OF LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS...EXPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS
AREA.

ONSHORE WINDS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE HURRICANE MAKES
LANDFALL ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE STORM SURGE COASTAL FLOODING OF 8 TO
12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 10 AM CDT POSITION...23.4 N... 94.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 90 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 978 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 PM
CDT.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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