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BULLETIN
HURRICANE BRET ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT AUG 21 1999
 
...HURRICANE BRET THREATENS SOUTH TEXAS AND NORTHEAST MEXICO...

A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO NORTHWARD
TO BAFFIN BAY TEXAS.  A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH
IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF BAFFIN BAY TO PORT ARANSAS TEXAS.  A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA SOUTHWARD TO TUXPAN
MEXICO.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  95.1 WEST OR ABOUT 195 MILES...315
KM...SOUTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE TEXAS.
 
BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...
AND A GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AND THEN WEST IS EXPECTED ON
SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  976 MB...28.82 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH
OF THE HURRICANE.  EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE DEPENDING ON THE
SPEED OF MOTION OF THE HURRICANE.

ONSHORE WINDS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE
COAST ARE EXPECTED TO PRODUCE STORM SURGE COASTAL FLOODING OF UP TO
8 TO 12 FEET ABOVE NORMAL ASTRONOMICAL TIDE LEVELS.

REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...24.1 N... 95.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...
105 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 976 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 6 PM CDT AND 8 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
 
LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
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