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BULLETIN
HURRICANE BRET ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SUN AUG 22 1999

...CORRECTION FOR WARNING SECTION...TROPICAL STORM WARNING 
REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE TEXAS COAST...

...POWERFUL BRET NEARS THE SOUTH COAST OF TEXAS... 

HURRICANE WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM LA PESCA MEXICO TO PORT
OCONNOR TEXAS. TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM EAST 
OF PORT OCONNOR TO FREEPORT TEXAS.  

AT 4 PM CST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM EAST OF PORT OCONNOR
TO FREEPORT TEXAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE BRET WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  97.1 WEST.  THIS POSITION IS ABOUT
60 MILES NORTH-NORTHEAST OF BROWNSVILLE...ABOUT 80 MILES SOUTH-
SOUTHEAST OF CORPUS CHRISTI...AND ABOUT 10 MILES EAST OF PADRE
ISLAND.
 
BRET IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR...
AND A TURN TOWARD THE WEST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT AND MONDAY.  THE
CENTER OF THE HURRICANE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE ONSHORE ON PADRE ISLAND
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 140 MPH...220 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.   WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS AS BRET
MOVES INLAND.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  40 MILES... 65 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 125 MILES...205 KM.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  946 MB...27.94 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 8 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF
THE HURRICANE.  EVEN HIGHER AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IF THE HURRICANE
SLOWS ITS FORWARD SPEED.

ONSHORE WINDS NEAR AND TO THE NORTH OF THE CENTER ARE EXPECTED TO
PRODUCE STORM SURGE COASTAL FLOODING OF UP TO 10 TO 15 FEET ABOVE
NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH HIGHER VALUES AT THE HEADS OF BAYS.

THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOS OVER SOUTH TEXAS TONIGHT. 
 
REPEATING THE 4 PM CDT POSITION...26.7 N... 97.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS...140 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 946 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 6 PM CDT AND 8 PM CDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE
ADVISORY AT 10 PM CDT.
 
GUINEY/LAWRENCE
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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