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BULLETIN
HURRICANE DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI AUG 27 1999

...DENNIS EXPECTED TO MOVE OVER OR NEAR ABACO ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS
TONIGHT...  
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE
EAST COAST OF FLORIDA FROM SEBASTIAN INLET TO FLAGLER BEACH. A
HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SEBASTIAN INLET NORTHWARD TO
FERNANDINA BEACH. THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND THE HURRICANE WATCH
MAY BE ADJUSTED NORTHWARD AS THE HURRICANE MOVES PARALLEL TO THE
EAST FLORIDA COAST.
 
HURRICANE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT FOR...ELEUTHERA...THE ABACOS BERRY
AND GRAND BAHAMA ISLANDS.
 
PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO
COMPLETION IN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA.
 
RESIDENTS ALONG THE SOUTHEAST COAST OF THE UNITED STATES FROM
CENTRAL FLORIDA THROUGH NORTH CAROLINA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF DENNIS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DENNIS WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 26.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.3 WEST OR ABOUT 315 MILES
...500 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT WITH A GRADUAL
TURN TO THE NORTHWEST ON SATURDAY. ON THIS TRACK..DENNIS SHOULD MOVE
OVER VERY NEAR THE ABACO ISLANDS LATER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. LITTLE HARBOR IN GREAT ABACO..BAHAMAS RECENTLY REPORTED GUSTS
TO 55 MPH...85 KPH AND PRESSURE FALLING.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST.
  
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 4 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS WITH
BATTERING WAVES ARE LIKELY ON THE BAHAMA ISLANDS NEAR THE PATH OF
THE HURRICANE.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...26.0 N... 76.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR  7 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 80 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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