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TROPICAL STORM DENNIS ADVISORY NUMBER  48
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT SAT SEP 04 1999

...DENNIS MAKING LANDFALL ON THE NORTH CAROLINA OUTER BANKS...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM THE NORTH CAROLINA/
VIRGINIA BORDER TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO
AND ABLEMARLE SOUNDS.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR
THE ENTIRE CHESAPEAKE BAY INCLUDING THE TIDAL POTOMAC. TROPICAL
STORM WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST NORTH OF
THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA.
 
A GALE WARNING ALSO IS IN EFFECT NORTH OF CHINCOTEAGUE VIRGINIA TO
GREAT EGG INLET NEW JERSEY.
 
AT 5 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DENNIS WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 34.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.3 WEST OR ON THE NORTH CAROLINA
OUTER BANKS ABOUT 35 MILES EAST-NORTHEAST OF MOREHEAD CITY. THIS IS
ALSO ABOUT 50 MILES WEST-SOUTHWEST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
 
DENNIS IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT. THIS COURSE SHOULD BRING THE CENTER
ACROSS THE PAMLICO SOUND AND INLAND OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA
TONIGHT.
 
DENNIS IS STILL VERY CLOSE TO HURRICANE STRENGTH...AND ANY
STRENGTHENING WOULD MAKE DENNIS A HURRICANE. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS
ARE NEAR 70 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TONIGHT
AFTER THE CENTER PASSES THE PAMLICO SOUND. AN AUTOMATED STATION AT
CAPE HATTERAS RECENTLY REPORTED A GUST TO 61 MPH.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES FROM THE
CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 984 MB...29.06 INCHES. AN AUTOMATED
STATION AT CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA RECENTLY REPORTED A PRESSURE
OF 986.5 MB.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...WITH
LOCALLY HIGHER LEVELS AT THE HEADS OF BAYS ARE EXPECTED OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA.  LARGE AND DANGEROUS SWELLS ASSOCIATED
WITH DENNIS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE U.S.
EAST COAST.  FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION...SEE STATEMENTS FROM LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES.
 
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADARS SHOW AREAS OF HEAVY RAIN
SPREADING OVER EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...
ARE LIKELY ALONG THE PATH OF DENNIS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA AND SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA TONIGHT.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...34.9 N... 76.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 984 MB.
 
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORIES WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 PM AND 9 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY
AT 11 PM EDT.
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
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