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HURRICANE FLOYD ADVISORY NUMBER  28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT TUE SEP 14 1999

...SEVERE HURRICANE FLOYD POUNDING THE BAHAMAS...EYE EXPECTED TO
PASS NEAR OR OVER THE ABACOS IN A FEW HOURS...HEADING TOWARD EAST
COAST OF FLORIDA... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTHWEST BAHAMAS
...INCLUDING THE ABACO ISLANDS...ANDROS ISLAND...BERRY ISLANDS
...BIMINI...ELEUTHERA...GRAND BAHAMA AND NEW PROVIDENCE ISLAND
...AND FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS ...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...EXUMAS
ISLANDS...LONG ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR ISLAND.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR ALL OF THE MAINLAND FLORIDA
EAST COAST FROM FLORIDA CITY TO JUST SOUTH OF BRUNSWICK GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE FLORIDA KEYS FROM
SEVEN MILE BRIDGE NORTHWARD.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM BRUNSWICK GEORGIA TO
LITTLE RIVER INLET SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTHEASTERN
BAHAMAS HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOYD WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  76.8 WEST...BETWEEN ELEUTHERA
AND ABACO ISLANDS IN THE BAHAMAS OR ABOUT 215 MILES...350 KM...
EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PALM BEACH FLORIDA.
 
FLOYD IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR. A
GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY AND WEDNESDAY.
ON THIS TRACK...THE EYE OF FLOYD WILL CROSS THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS
LATER TODAY AND WILL BE NEARING THE EAST COAST OF FLORIDA
THEREAFTER. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 145 MPH...230 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ACCORDING TO HAM RADIO REPORTS...GUSTS UP TO 115 MPH...
185 KPH... HAVE ALREADY BEEN EXPERIENCED IN THE ABACO ISLANDS. 
ANDROS ISLAND...LOCATED WELL TO THE SOUTHWEST OF THE HURRICANE
RECENTLY REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 70 MPH...112 KPH...AND SOME TREES
DOWN.

SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY ARE LIKELY DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 125 MILES...205 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 290 MILES...465 KM.
 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE
PLANE WAS  932 MB...27.52 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 15 TO 20 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...
ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DANGEROUS BATTERING WAVES ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE BAHAMAS.  FLOODING OF 5 TO 10 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDES ARE
POSSIBLE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST IF THE CENTER REACHES THE
COAST.
 
HEAVY SURF ADVISORIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR THE U.S. EAST COAST
NORTHWARD TO MONTAUK POINT NEW YORK.  PLEASE REFER TO STATEMENTS
ISSUED BY LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OFFICES FOR ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION.
 
RAINBANDS FROM FLOYD ARE PRODUCING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER PORTIONS
OF THE BAHAMAS AND LOCAL ACCUMULATIONS OF 8 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY.
RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN PORTIONS OF THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST WARNING AREA.

ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF FLOYD.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...25.7 N... 76.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...145
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 932 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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