HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM COR
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM HARVEY ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE SEP 21 1999
 
...CORRECTION TO CHANGE THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH TO A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACOS IN THE NORTHERN
BAHAMAS.

...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS EXTENDED TO INCLUDE SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE
KEYS...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS EXTENDED
SOUTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST FROM BOCA RATON TO ANGELFISH
KEY.  THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS ALSO EXTENDED SOUTHWARD ALONG
THE FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM EAST CAPE SABLE TO ANGELFISH
KEY...INCLUDING THE FLORIDA KEYS...DRY TORTUGAS...FLORIDA BAY AND
THE FLORIDA STRAITS.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS ARE DISCONTINUED ALONG
THE FLORIDA EAST COAST NORTH OF SEBASTIAN INLET...AND ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST NORTH OF LONGBOAT KEY.  THE HURRICANE WATCH FROM
BONITA BEACH TO THE MOUTH OF THE SUWANNEE RIVER IS DISCONTINUED.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE BAHAMAS HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND AND THE ABACOS IN THE
NORTHERN BAHAMAS.
  
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM HARVEY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 100 MILES...165 KM...WEST OF FT MYERS FLORIDA.
 
HARVEY IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR. 
HARVEY IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE EAST LATER TODAY WITH AN INCREASE
IN FORWARD SPEED.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  50 MPH... 85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  HARVEY IS NOT WELL ORGANIZED...WITH NEARLY ALL OF THE
RAIN AND STRONG WINDS LOCATED TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE
CENTER.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES
...185 KM...MOSTLY EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT REPORTED A MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE OF  995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...AND
UP TO 6 FEET AT THE HEADS OF BAYS...ARE POSSIBLE NEAR AND TO THE
SOUTH OF WHERE THE CENTER CROSSES THE COAST.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE POSSIBLE ALONG THE PATH OF HARVEY.  SEE STATEMENTS
FROM LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR FLOOD
WATCHES AND WARNINGS.
 
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
FLORIDA PENINSULA TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...26.4 N... 83.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 50 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT
COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM EDT.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT5 AND WMO HEADER WTNT75 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN