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TROPICAL STORM IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED OCT 13 1999

..COR WORD STORM MISSING

...TROPICAL STORM IRENE...THE NINTH OF THE SEASON...FORMS IN THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE CAYMAN ISLANDS HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...AND THE
GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PROVINCES OF
PINAR DEL RIO...HAVANA...CIUDAD HAVANA AND THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
SATELLITE IMAGES AND DATA FROM THE CARIBBEAN INDICATE THAT THE AREA
OF LOW PRESSURE HAS BECOME TROPICAL STORM IRENE. AT 11 AM EDT...
1500Z...THE CENTER OF IRENE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.5
NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.5 WEST OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...WEST
SOUTHWEST OF GRAND CAYMAN.  THIS IS ABOUT 330 MILES...535 KM...SOUTH
SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR 8 MPH...13 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY WITH A GRADUAL TURN
TO THE NORTH. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON.
IRENE COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH IN A DAY OR TWO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM...
PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
 
SQUALLS AND GUSTY WINDS WILL CONTINUE SPREADING NORTHWARD OVER THE
CAYMAN ISLANDS...PORTIONS OF CUBA...THE FLORIDA STRAITS AND WILL
BEGIN TO SPREAD OVER THE KEYS. 

ALL INTERESTS IN FLORIDA...ESPECIALLY SOUTH FLORIDA AND THE KEYS... 
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...18.5 N... 83.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 40
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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