HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED OCT 13 1999

...IRENE STRENGTHENING...APPROACHING WESTERN CUBA...AND A THREAT TO
FLORIDA...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR WESTERN CUBA INCLUDING THE
PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...HAVANA...CIUDAD HAVANA...MATANZAS AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE CAYMAN ISLANDS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE LOWER AND MIDDLE FLORIDA KEYS
WEST OF CRAIG KEY AND FOR THE DRY TORTUGAS.

INTERESTS IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF IRENE.  ADDITIONAL WATCHES...OR WARNINGS...MAY BE
REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF FLORIDA ON THURSDAY.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM IRENE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  83.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 145 MILES...235 KM...SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF HAVANA CUBA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  9 MPH...15 KM/HR AND A
SLOWING OF THE FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...IRENE WILL CROSS WESTERN CUBA ON THURSDAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CONDITIONS FAVOR ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING AND IRENE IS
LIKELY TO BECOME A HURRICANE BY THE TIME IT REACHES WESTERN CUBA. 

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM
MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  999 MB...29.50 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS OF 6 TO 12 INCHES ARE EXPECTED ALONG THE PATH OF IRENE.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...21.1 N... 83.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 999 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...THURSDAY.
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
NNNN