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HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT THU OCT 14 1999

...WINDS INCREASING OVER THE FLORIDA KEYS...CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO
DETERIORATE OVER SOUTH FLORIDA ON FRIDAY...
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC..THE HURRICANE WARNING IS EXTENDED NORTHWARD
ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS.  A HURRICANE
WARNING IS NOW IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY AROUND THE
FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS...INCLUDING ALL OF THE FLORIDA
KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM
FLORIDA CITY TO JUPITER INLET ON THE FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE
OKEECHOBEE.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300 UTC...A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT ALONG THE
FLORIDA WEST COAST FROM NORTH OF THE ANCLOTE KEYS TO YANKEETOWN.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE PROVINCES OF HAVANA
AND CIUDAD HAVANA CUBA.  THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED THE
HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE PROVINCES OF PINAR DEL RIO...MATANZAS AND
THE ISLE OF YOUTH.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.6 WEST OR ABOUT 95 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
IRENE HAS MOVED SLOWLY AND ERRATICALLY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS.  A
NORTHWARD MOTION NEAR 8 MPH IS EXPECTED TO RESUME EARLY FRIDAY.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF IRENE WILL BE NEAR THE FLORIDA KEYS ON
FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SLIGHT
STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 115 MILES.  SOMBRERO KEY LIGHT RECENTLY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS
TO 45 MPH AND A GUST TO 53 MPH.  SAND KEY REPORTED SUSTAINED WINDS
OF 42 MPH AND A GUST TO 55 MPH.
 
A NOAA PLANE RECENTLY REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 988
MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
HEAVY RAINS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH IRENE.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM EDT POSITION...23.4 N... 82.6 W.  MOVEMENT
SLOW AND ERRATIC.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
EDT...FRIDAY.
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
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