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HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT FRI OCT 15 1999
 
...IRENE MOVING NORTHWARD TOWARD FLORIDA KEYS...

AT 5 AM EDT...0900 UTC..THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND HURRICANE
WATCH ARE EXTENDED NORTHWARD ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST TO SOUTH
OF FLAGLER BEACH. A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH ARE
NOW IN EFFECT FROM FLORIDA CITY TO SOUTH OF FLAGLER BEACH ON THE
FLORIDA EAST COAST AND FOR LAKE OKEECHOBEE.
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF FLORIDA CITY
AROUND THE FLORIDA PENINSULA TO THE ANCLOTE KEYS...INCLUDING ALL OF
THE FLORIDA KEYS AND THE DRY TORTUGAS.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT ALONG THE FLORIDA WEST COAST
FROM NORTH OF THE ANCLOTE KEYS TO YANKEETOWN.
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF CUBA HAS DISCONTINUED ALL WARNINGS FOR CUBA.
 
INTERESTS IN THE REMAINDER OF THE FLORIDA PENINSULA SHOULD CONTINUE
TO CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF IRENE.
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  82.2 WEST OR ABOUT 45 MILES
SOUTHWEST OF KEY WEST FLORIDA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR  9 MPH...AND THIS MOTION IS
EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. THIS MOTION WOULD BRING
THE CENTER NEAR THE LOWER FLORIDA KEYS LATER THIS MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  75 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME
SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES...FROM THE
CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES. AN AUTOMATED STATION AT SOMBRERO KEY FLORIDA RECENTLY
REPORTED 55 MPH SUSTAINED WINDS WITH A GUST TO 68 MPH.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT WAS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 5 TO 7 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS EXPECTED IN
THE WARNING AREA OF SOUTHWEST FLORIDA AND 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL
TIDE LEVELS IN THE FLORIDA KEYS AND FLORIDA BAY.
 
HEAVY RAINS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS...ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH IRENE.
 
THERE IS A RISK OF ISOLATED TORNADOES OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THE FLORIDA KEYS TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 5 AM EDT POSITION...24.1 N... 82.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 75 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 AM
EDT.
 
BEVEN/GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
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