HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM..COR
BULLETIN
HURRICANE IRENE ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT OCT 16 1999

..WATCHES AND WARNING SECTION..EAST OF SURF CITY

...IRENE HEADING FOR THE RAIN-SOAKED CAROLINAS... 
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM
EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA TO SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM NORTH OF JUPITER
FLORIDA TO SOUTH OF EDISTO BEACH SOUTH CAROLINA.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM EAST OF SURF CITY TO CAPE
HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA...INCLUDING THE PAMLICO SOUND.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR BIMINI AND
GRAND BAHAMA ISLAND HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED.
 
ALL INTEREST ELSEWHERE ALONG THE FLORIDA EAST COAST SHOULD EXERCISE
CAUTION UNTIL WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE IRENE WAS LOCATED BY
A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE AND RADAR FROM MELBOURNE NEAR LATITUDE 28.2
NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.0 WEST OR ABOUT 40 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF
CAPE CANAVERAL FLORIDA.
 
IRENE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 8 MPH AND THIS GENERAL MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS
FORECAST.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES TO THE NORTH
AND EAST OF THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND
OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES... PRIMARILY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE
CENTER.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE
HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT IS 986 MB...29.12 INCHES.
 
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE
OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA IN AREAS OF ONSHORE FLOW.
 
ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS...ARE ASSOCIATED WITH IRENE.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM EDT POSITION...28.2 N... 80.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
EDT.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT3 AND WMO HEADER WTNT73 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN