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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST MON OCT 18 1999
 
...JOSE GAINING STRENGTH EAST OF THE WINDWARD ANTILLES...

A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WAS ISSUED FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO BY THE
GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO EFFECTIVE AT 8 AM...1200Z THIS
MORNING.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE
WINDWARD ISLANDS LATER TODAY.  ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER
ANTILLES SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS DEVELOPING
SYSTEM.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 10.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE  54.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 390 MILES...625 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF BARBADOS.
 
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/HR
...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND JOSE COULD REACH HURRICANE STRENGTH WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...10.7 N... 54.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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