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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST MON OCT 18 1999

...JOSE APPROACHING THE LESSER ANTILLES...
 
AT 5 PM...2100Z...THE FOLLOWING WATCHES AND WARNINGS HAVE BEEN
ISSUED BY THE APPROPRIATE GOVERNMENT AGENCIES/WEATHER OFFICES...
 
...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR BARBADOS.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS
IN EFFECT FOR BARBADOS.
 
...A HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE GRENADINES...ST VINCENT...ST LUCIA...
AND DOMINICA.
 
...A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR GRENADA.
 
...AT 8 PM...0000Z...A HURRICANE WATCH FOR MARTINIQUE...GUADELOUPE
AND SURROUNDING ISLANDS.  ANTIGUA...BARBUDA...MONTSERRAT...ST
KITTS... NEVIS...AND ANGUILLA.
 
AT 5 PM...2100Z...THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
IS DISCONTINUED.
  
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED
BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT NEAR LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 
55.6 WEST OR ABOUT 270 MILES...430 KM...EAST OF BARBADOS.  THIS IS
NORTH OF PREVIOUS SATELLITE BASED ESTIMATES.
 
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH...19 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...
AND JOSE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  50 MILES
... 85 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...12.4 N... 55.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 12 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
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