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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU OCT 21 1999

...JOSE MOVING SLOWLY NORTHWEST AWAY FROM THE LESSER ANTILLES...
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA
FRIDAY.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.2 WEST OR ABOUT 80 MILES...
...130 KM...NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
 
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR...AND A
TURN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED ON FRIDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST AND JOSE COULD AGAIN BECOME
A HURRICANE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220 KM
...MAINLY TO THE NORTH AND EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF PUERTO RICO AND THE LEEWARD
ISLANDS.  ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE
WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS POSING A THREAT OF FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RETURN TO NORMAL TONIGHT AND FRIDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...19.6 N... 66.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 993 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 5 AM AST...FRIDAY.
 
GUINEY
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.

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