HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOSE ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI OCT 22 1999
 
...JOSE NOW MOVING SLOWLY NORTH-NORTHWEST...

ALL INTERESTS IN THE LESSER ANTILLES SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION UNTIL
WINDS AND SEAS SUBSIDE.
 
A HURRICANE OR TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED FOR BERMUDA
LATER TODAY.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOSE WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE  66.3 WEST OR ABOUT 130
MILES...205 KM...NORTH OF SAN JUAN PUERTO RICO.
 
JOSE IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH...13 KM/HR. 
JOSE IS EXPECTED TO TURN TO THE NORTH AT A FASTER FORWARD SPEED
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO...AND
JOSE COULD REGAIN HURRICANE STATUS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 145 MILES
...230 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE ESTIMATED BY AN AIR FORCE RESERVE UNIT
RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS  991 MB...29.26 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER PORTIONS OF THE LEEWARD ISLANDS.  ADDITIONAL
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE WITH HIGHER AMOUNTS
OVER MOUNTAINOUS AREAS POSING A THREAT OF FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
TIDES ARE EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY RETURN TO NORMAL TODAY.

REPEATING THE 5 AM AST POSITION...20.3 N... 66.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 991 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
11 AM AST.
 
FRANKLIN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT4 AND WMO HEADER WTNT74 KNHC.
 
 
NNNN