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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST SAT NOV 13 1999

...DEPRESSION MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST...

INTERESTS IN JAMAICA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM...
 
AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL DEPRESSION
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  80.6 WEST
OR ABOUT 290 MILES...465 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE SOUTHEAST NEAR  9 MPH
...15 KM/HR...AND A TURN TOWARD THE EAST IS EXPECTED ON SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  35 MPH... 55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
 
THE HEAVIEST RAIN ASSOCIATED WITH THE DEPRESSION IS IN AN AREA OVER
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS...EXTENDING TO NEAR SOUTHEASTERN CUBA...AND TO
NEAR JAMAICA.  THESE RAINS SHOULD CONTINUE TO SPREAD OVER JAMAICA
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE IN ASSOCIATION WITH THIS DEPRESSION.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM EST POSITION...15.9 N... 80.6 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...SOUTHEAST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 35 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
4 AM EST...SUNDAY.
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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