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HURRICANE LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM EST SUN NOV 14 1999

...LENNY MOVING EASTWARD OVER THE NORTHWEST CARIBBEAN...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HAITI.
 
AT 10 PM EST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 160 MILES...260 KM...SOUTHWEST OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR  8 MPH ...13 KM/HR...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING COULD OCCUR DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  988 MB...29.18 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
LENNY.  THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
STRONG ONSHORE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO CAUSE STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2
TO 5 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA.
 
REPEATING THE 10 PM EST POSITION...16.1 N... 78.3 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR  8 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 988 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 1 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 4 AM
EST...MONDAY.
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
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