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HURRICANE LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM EST MON NOV 15 1999

...CORRECT 15 INCHES TO 10 INCHES IN RAINFALL SECTION...
 
...HURRICANE LENNY STRENGTHENING QUICKLY...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING AND A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
JAMAICA.  A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF
HAITI. THE WARNING AND WATCH FOR JAMAICA MAY BE LOWERED LATER TODAY.
 
HURRICANE AND/OR TROPICAL STORM WATCHES MAY BE REQUIRED FOR THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PUERTO RICO...AND THE VIRGIN ISLANDS LATER
TODAY.
 
AT 4 AM EST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  77.1 WEST OR ABOUT 175 MILES...280
KM...SOUTH OF KINGSTON JAMAICA.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR  9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE RESERVE HURRICANE HUNTER AIRCRAFT INDICATE
THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 100 MPH...160
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST
DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  25 MILES... 35 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO  85 MILES...140 KM.
 
THE LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY THE HURRICANE HUNTER
WAS 971 MB...28.67 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY IN ASSOCIATION WITH
LENNY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE FLASH FLOODS AND MUDSLIDES OVER
MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. 

STORM SURGE FLOODING ALONG THE SOUTH COAST OF JAMAICA WILL LIKELY
DIMINISH LATER TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 4 AM EST POSITION...15.4 N... 77.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR  9 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 971 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 7 AM EST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 10 AM
EST.
 
BEVEN
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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