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HURRICANE LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST MON NOV 15 1999

...HURRICANE WARNINGS ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE VIRGIN
ISLANDS...
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PUERTO
RICO AND THE U.S. AND BRITISH VIRGIN ISLANDS.  ALSO AT 11 PM
EST...0300Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC HAS ISSUED A
TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE SOUTH COAST OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
FROM CABO BEATA TO CABO ENGANO.  A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT
FOR THE SOUTH COASTS OF HAITI AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  73.0 WEST
OR ABOUT 315 MILES...505 KM...SOUTHWEST OF SANTO DOMINGO IN THE
DOMINICAN REPUBLIC.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED ON TUESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH LENNY WEAKENED TODAY...SOME RE-STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  982 MB...29.00 INCHES.
 
RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES ARE LIKELY NEAR THE PATH OF THE
HURRICANE.  MOST OF THE SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL IS OVER WATER AT THIS
TIME BUT WILL LIKELY BE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF HISPANIOLA ON TUESDAY.
 
REPEATING THE 11 PM AST POSITION...15.2 N... 73.0 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 14 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 982 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 AM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 AM
AST...TUESDAY.
 
PASCH
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
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