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BULLETIN
HURRICANE LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI NOV 19 1999

...TENACIOUS LENNY CONTINUES POUNDING ST. MAARTEN...DAMAGE APPEARS
TO BE SEVERE... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...
FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST.BARTHELEMEY...ANGUILLA...SABA...ST.
EUSTATIUS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS...MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...AND
BARBUDA.
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LENNY WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.8 WEST...BETWEEN ST.
MAARTEN AND ST. BARTHELEMEY.
 
LENNY HAS MEANDERING DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS EXPECTED TO
MOVE TOWARD THE EAST NORTHEAST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/HR TODAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR  90 MPH...150
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS AREAS.  SOME
WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. 
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 145 MILES...230 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  986 MB...29.12 INCHES.  SOME
FURTHER WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS...MAY OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
HURRICANE.  THESE RAINS CAN PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 3 TO 5 FT ABOVE NORMAL...ACCOMPANIED BY
DANGEROUS LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
HURRICANE.
 
REPEATING THE 11 AM AST POSITION...18.0 N... 62.8 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NORTHEAST NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 
90 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 986 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 2 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 5 PM
AST.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.
 
 
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