HOME	ACTIVE CYCLONES	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LENNY ADVISORY NUMBER  26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI NOV 19 1999

...CAPRICIOUS LENNY RAPIDLY LOSING STRENGTH...MOVING
EASTWARD...WEATHER SHOULD GRADUALLY IMPROVE... 
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100 UTC...THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED
FOR DUTCH ST. MAARTEN...FRENCH ST. MARTIN...ST. BARTHELEMEY...
ANGUILLA...SABA...ST. EUSTATIUS...ST. KITTS...NEVIS.  ALSO AT 5 PM
AST...2100Z...THE HURRICANE WARNING FOR MONTSERRAT...ANTIGUA...AND
BARBUDA HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO TROPICAL STORM WARNING.

DATA FROM A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INDICATE THAT LENNY HAS
WEAKENED AND IS NOW A TROPICAL STORM. 
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
LENNY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.2 WEST
OR ABOUT 25 MILES...40 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BARBUDA.
 
LENNY IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/HR...AND THIS
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TONIGHT.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/HR...IN A SMALL
AREA NEAR THE CENTER...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME WEAKENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 115 MILES...185 KM 
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  ANTIGUA REPORTED GUSTS TO 80 MPH...
128 KPH...EARLIER TODAY. 
  
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A NOAA RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WAS
994 MB...29.35 INCHES.
 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL TOTALS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER
AMOUNTS IN MOUNTAINOUS REGIONS...MAY OCCUR IN ASSOCIATION WITH THE
LENNY.  THESE RAINS CAN PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS
AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FT ABOVE NORMAL...ACCOMPANIED BY
DANGEROUS LARGE BATTERING WAVES...IS EXPECTED NEAR THE CENTER OF THE
TROPICAL STORM.
 
REPEATING THE 5 PM AST POSITION...17.5 N... 62.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR  5 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 70 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM AST FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
AST.
 
AVILA
 
STRIKE PROBABILITIES ASSOCIATED WITH THIS ADVISORY NUMBER CAN BE
FOUND UNDER AFOS HEADER MIASPFAT1 AND WMO HEADER WTNT71 KNHC.

 
NNNN