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HURRICANE JOYCE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   AL1400
0900Z THU SEP 28 2000
 
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  42.7W AT 28/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO  95 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  60SE  60SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  42.7W AT 28/0900Z
AT 28/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  42.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 12.5N  44.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.5N  46.6W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.5N  48.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  25SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  60SW  90NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N  42.7W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 12.7N  51.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z 13.5N  55.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/1500Z
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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