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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU JUN 08 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 93.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SUN JUN 11 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.9N 94.4W 52 X X X 52 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 7 7
23.0N 95.0W 18 9 1 X 28 GALVESTON TX X X X 9 9
24.0N 95.5W 2 17 2 2 23 FREEPORT TX X X X 10 10
MMSO 238N 982W X 5 7 3 15 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 10 11
MMTM 222N 979W X 6 3 3 12 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 2 10 12
MMTX 210N 974W 1 4 1 3 9 BROWNSVILLE TX X 1 8 7 16
MMVR 192N 961W 2 1 X 1 4 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W X X 1 3 4 GULF 28N 89W X X X 5 5
MOBILE AL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 7 8
GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 10 11
BURAS LA X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 95W X X 2 10 12
NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4 GULF 27N 96W X X 6 8 14
NEW IBERIA LA X X X 5 5 GULF 25N 96W X 8 8 3 19
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI
C FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
D FROM 7AM SAT TO 7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA/STEWART
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