ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT MON SEP 11 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT THU SEP 14 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.1N 73.6W 99 X X X 99 SAVANNAH GA X X X 7 7
30.0N 74.0W 42 X X X 42 CHARLESTON SC X X X 7 7
30.0N 74.0W 42 X X X 42 MYRTLE BEACH SC X X X 6 6
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 3 3 WILMINGTON NC X X X 6 6
MYEG 235N 758W X X X 2 2 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 4 5
MYAK 241N 776W X X X 3 3 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 4 4
MYNN 251N 775W X X 2 4 6 KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2
MYGF 266N 787W X X 3 7 10 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 4 4
BERMUDA X X X 3 3 FT MYERS FL X X X 5 5
MARATHON FL X X X 2 2 VENICE FL X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL X X 1 4 5 TAMPA FL X X X 6 6
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 7 8 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 6 6
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 7 9 ST MARKS FL X X X 4 4
COCOA BEACH FL X X 1 8 9 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 1 8 9 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM TUE TO 8PM TUE
C FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
D FROM 8AM WED TO 8AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
NNNN
Problems?