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HURRICANE FLORENCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT TUE SEP 12 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT FRI SEP 15 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.6N 73.0W 42 X X X 42 NORFOLK VA X X 2 4 6
31.8N 71.7W 20 3 1 1 25 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 4 5
32.0N 70.0W 5 7 4 3 19 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 4 4
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 4 4
MYSM 241N 745W X X X 2 2 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 4 4
BERMUDA X X 1 7 8 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 X 2 3 NANTUCKET MA X X X 4 4
WILMINGTON NC X 1 2 2 5 HYANNIS MA X X X 3 3
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 3 2 3 8 BOSTON MA X X X 3 3
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 2 4 4 10 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM WED TO 8AM THU
C FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
D FROM 8PM THU TO 8PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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