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HURRICANE JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 28 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN OCT 1 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
10.5N 50.0W 51 X X X 51 TVSV 131N 612W X X X 13 13
10.5N 52.0W 4 26 X X 30 TLPL 138N 610W X X X 13 13
11.0N 54.0W X 14 8 1 23 TFFF 146N 610W X X X 11 11
SVMG 110N 640W X X X 4 4 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 9 9
TTPP 106N 614W X X X 10 10 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 6 6
TTPT 112N 608W X X X 12 12 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 4 4
TGPY 120N 618W X X X 11 11 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 2 2
TBPB 131N 595W X X X 16 16
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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