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HURRICANE JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST FRI SEP 29 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 47.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST MON OCT 2 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
10.3N 51.6W 54 X X X 54 TFFF 146N 610W X X 1 14 15
10.8N 53.9W 3 28 1 X 32 TDPR 153N 614W X X X 14 14
11.4N 56.2W X 12 10 1 23 TFFR 163N 615W X X X 12 12
SVMG 110N 640W X X X 7 7 TAPA 171N 618W X X X 10 10
TTPP 106N 614W X X 1 11 12 TKPK 173N 627W X X X 8 8
TTPT 112N 608W X X 3 12 15 TNCM 181N 631W X X X 6 6
TGPY 120N 618W X X 1 13 14 TISX 177N 648W X X X 4 4
TBPB 131N 595W X X 6 12 18 TIST 183N 650W X X X 3 3
TVSV 131N 612W X X 1 15 16 ST CROIX VI X X X 4 4
TLPL 138N 610W X X 1 15 16 ST THOMAS VI X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
C FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
D FROM 2AM SUN TO 2AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
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