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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI SEP 29 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 53.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST MON OCT 2 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
11.7N 57.0W 54 X X X 54 TAPA 171N 618W X X 8 8 16
12.8N 59.2W 2 31 X X 33 TKPK 173N 627W X X 6 10 16
13.8N 61.2W X 14 9 1 24 TNCM 181N 631W X X 2 12 14
TNCC 122N 690W X X X 5 5 TISX 177N 648W X X 1 14 15
SVMG 110N 640W X X 6 4 10 TIST 183N 650W X X 1 12 13
TTPP 106N 614W X 6 6 1 13 TJPS 180N 666W X X X 12 12
TTPT 112N 608W X 15 3 1 19 MDSD 185N 697W X X X 6 6
TGPY 120N 618W X 9 9 1 19 MDCB 176N 714W X X X 3 3
TBPB 131N 595W X 31 X X 31 TJSJ 184N 661W X X X 12 12
TVSV 131N 612W X 16 7 1 24 MDPP 198N 707W X X X 2 2
TLPL 138N 610W X 16 8 1 25 ST CROIX VI X X 1 14 15
TFFF 146N 610W X 11 10 2 23 ST THOMAS VI X X 1 12 13
TDPR 153N 614W X 4 14 3 21 SAN JUAN PR X X X 12 12
TFFR 163N 615W X 1 12 5 18 PONCE PR X X X 12 12
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
C FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
D FROM 8PM SUN TO 8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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