HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 30 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST TUE OCT  3 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
11.9N  62.5W      54  X  X  X 54   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  2  2  4
12.7N  65.2W       1 32  X  X 33   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  5  3  8
13.5N  68.0W       X  7 16  1 24   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  2  9 11
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  6 10 16   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  2 12 14
TNCC 122N 690W     X  2 16  2 20   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X 11 11
SVMG 110N 640W    18 15  X  X 33   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X 11 11
TTPP 106N 614W    53  X  1  X 54   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  7  7
TTPT 112N 608W    75  X  X  X 75   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X  4  4
TGPY 120N 618W    60  X  X  X 60   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  5  5
TBPB 131N 595W    33  X  X  X 33   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  3  3  6
TVSV 131N 612W    46  X  X  X 46   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X  7  7
TLPL 138N 610W    26  1  X  X 27   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  3  3
TFFF 146N 610W     7  4  X  X 11   ST CROIX VI        X  1  3  2  6
TDPR 153N 614W     2  3  1  X  6   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  2  2  4
TFFR 163N 615W     X  1  1  X  2   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  3  3  6
TKPK 173N 627W     X  1  1  X  2   PONCE PR           X  X  5  3  8
TISX 177N 648W     X  1  3  2  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SUN TO  8AM MON
C FROM  8AM MON TO  8PM MON
D FROM  8PM MON TO  8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
NNNN