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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 24
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN OCT 01 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST WED OCT 4 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
13.0N 66.0W 54 X X X 54 MTPP 186N 724W X X 4 8 12
13.7N 68.5W 1 32 X X 33 MTCA 183N 738W X X 3 11 14
14.5N 71.5W X 4 20 1 25 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 15 15
SKPG 125N 717W X 4 16 1 21 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 13 13
TNCC 122N 690W X 26 1 X 27 MWCG 193N 814W X X X 5 5
SVMG 110N 640W 54 X X X 54 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 10 10
TTPP 106N 614W 86 X X X 86 MUCM 214N 779W X X X 5 5
TTPT 112N 608W 99 X X X 99 MUCF 221N 805W X X X 2 2
TGPY 120N 618W 99 X X X 99 MNPC 141N 834W X X X 2 2
TVSV 131N 612W 84 X X X 84 SKSP 126N 817W X X X 3 3
TLPL 138N 610W 6 X X X 6 MDPP 198N 707W X X 1 4 5
TJPS 180N 666W X 1 2 X 3 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2
MDSD 185N 697W X X 6 2 8 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 2 2
MDCB 176N 714W X X 11 4 15 PONCE PR X 1 2 X 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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