ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT SAT SEP 30 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT TUE OCT 3 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.0N 87.5W 49 X X X 49 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
20.8N 87.8W 36 X X 1 37 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2
21.5N 88.0W 22 4 1 1 28 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
MWCG 193N 814W X X 1 4 5 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X X 4 4 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 3 5 9 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 2 5 7 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
MUAN 219N 850W 4 6 4 3 17 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W 43 X X X 43 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 3 3
MZBZ 175N 883W 13 1 1 1 16 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 4 5 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 2 1 2 3 8 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
MNPC 141N 834W X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2
MMFR 185N 926W X X 1 4 5 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W 7 9 3 1 20 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MARATHON FL X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 6 7
KEY WEST FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 6 7
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 93W X X X 5 5
FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3
VENICE FL X X X 3 3 GULF 27N 96W X X X 3 3
TAMPA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 25N 96W X X X 3 3
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SUN TO 8PM SUN
C FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
D FROM 8AM MON TO 8AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}