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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 24A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM AST SUN OCT 01 2000

...JOYCE BARELY A TROPICAL STORM...HEADING FOR THE OPEN SOUTHEASTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR GRENADA...THE
GRENADINE ISLANDS AND ST. VINCENT BUT WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED
THIS AFTERNOON.
 
AT 2 PM AST...1800Z...THE POORLY DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM
JOYCE WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.3 WEST
OR ABOUT 45 MILES...75 KM...WEST-SOUTHEAST OF GRENADA IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN CARIBBEAN SEA.
 
JOYCE IS MOVING BETWEEN THE WEST AND WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH...26
KM/HR...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS.
 
PRELIMINARY DATA FROM A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE INVESTIGATING THE AREA
INDICATE THAT JOYCE IS BARELY A TROPICAL STORM AND MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH... 65 KM/HR...IN A SMALL AREA EAST OF THE
CENTER WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  ALTHOUGH NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE IN
STRENGTH IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS...JOYCE COULD BE
DOWNGRADED TO A TROPICAL DEPRESSION LATER TODAY.   
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES... 95 KM
TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER IN RAINBANDS.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.73 INCHES.

BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS AND GUSTY WINDS ARE STILL SPREADING OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WINDWARD ISLANDS AND WILL LIKELY CONTINUE TODAY.
 
REPEATING THE 2 PM AST POSITION...11.8 N... 62.3 W.  MOVEMENT
BETWEEN WEST AND WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 16 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 40 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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