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TROPICAL STORM KEITH ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 29 2000

...TROPICAL STORM KEITH...THE ELEVENTH OF THE SEASON...FORMS IN THE
NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA...
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH ALONG THE EAST OF YUCATAN FROM CHETUMAL TO CABO
CATOCHE.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KEITH WAS LOCATED
BY A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE NEAR LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  85.2
WEST OR ABOUT 300 MILES...480 KM...SOUTH OF THE WESTERN TIP OF CUBA.
 
KEITH HAS BEEN DRIFTING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST DURING THE DAY BUT IS
EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6
KM/HR...TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 50 MPH...85 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  KEITH COULD BECOME A HURRICANE DURING THE WEEKEND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 85 MILES...140 KM
MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
LATEST MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE REPORTED BY A RECONNAISSANCE
AIRCRAFT WAS 995 MB...29.38 INCHES.
 
MOIST SOUTHWESTERLY WINDS FROM THE EASTERN PACIFIC COULD BRING
TORRENTIAL RAINS TO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS AND PREVENTIVE ACTIONS SHOULD BE TAKEN.    

REPEATING THE 5 PM EDT POSITION...17.6 N... 85.2 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NORTHWEST NEAR  3 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 50
MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 995 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 8 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 11 PM
EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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