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TROPICAL STORM ILEANA ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM PDT MON AUG 14 2000
...CORRECTED HEADLINE BELOW...
...ILEANA THREATENS SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...HURRICANE WARNINGS
ISSUED...
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS CHANGED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A HURRICANE WARNING FOR BAJA CALIFORNIA
FROM LA PAZ AROUND THE PENINSULA TO TODOS LOS SANTOS...AND HAS
ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 25N LATITUDE.
 
AT 8 PM PDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ILEANA
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST
OR ABOUT 160 MILES...255 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO.
 
ILEANA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...AND A
GRADUAL TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  ON THIS TRACK...THE CENTER OF ILEANA WILL PASS VERY NEAR
TO THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA ON TUESDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  65 MPH...100 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  ILEANA IS LIKELY TO STRENGTHEN INTO A HURRICANE LATER
TONIGHT.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  85 MILES
...140 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS  992 MB...29.29 INCHES.
 
A FEW RAINBANDS ASSOCIATED WITH ILEANA ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS
OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO.  RAINFALL TOTALS OF 5 TO 8 INCHES ARE
POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA PENINSULA.  THESE RAINS
COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM PDT POSITION...21.3 N...108.1 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 65 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 992 MB.
 
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 11 PM PDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 2 AM
PDT...TUESDAY.
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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