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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHANTAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED AUG 22 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT SAT AUG 25 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.1N 94.0W 45 X X X 45 MMTX 210N 974W X 5 4 5 14
18.7N 95.0W 33 X X 1 34 MMVR 192N 961W 14 10 2 1 27
17.7N 95.3W 19 2 2 1 24 MMFR 185N 926W 55 X X X 55
MZBZ 175N 883W X X X 2 2 MMMD 210N 897W X 1 X 3 4
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 3 3 GULF 25N 96W X X X 2 2
MMTM 222N 979W X X 2 6 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM THU TO 1PM THU
C FROM 1PM THU TO 1AM FRI
D FROM 1AM FRI TO 1AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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