ZCZC MIASPFAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT WED SEP 05 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT SAT SEP 8 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.5N 60.5W 49 X X X 49 TISX 177N 648W X 1 6 4 11
20.5N 62.0W 12 26 1 X 39 TIST 183N 650W X 1 7 5 13
21.0N 63.0W 1 28 3 1 33 TJPS 180N 666W X X 1 5 6
TDPR 153N 614W X 1 1 1 3 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 3 6 9
TFFR 163N 615W 3 5 X 2 10 ST CROIX VI X 1 6 4 11
TAPA 171N 618W 8 8 1 1 18 ST THOMAS VI X 1 7 5 13
TKPK 173N 627W 2 11 2 1 16 SAN JUAN PR X X 3 6 9
TNCM 181N 631W 2 14 3 1 20 PONCE PR X X 1 5 6
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM THU TO 8PM THU
C FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
D FROM 8AM FRI TO 8AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Problems?