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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 26
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SAT SEP 08 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.5N 64.5W 49 X X X 49 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 5 5
34.5N 65.0W 12 14 1 X 27 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 4 4
36.0N 66.0W X 12 5 2 19 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 5 5
BERMUDA 49 X X X 49 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 4 4
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X X 2 2 NANTUCKET MA X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3 HYANNIS MA X X X 4 4
NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3 BOSTON MA X X X 3 3
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 5 5 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
C FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
D FROM 2PM MON TO 2PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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