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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST SAT SEP 08 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST TUE SEP 11 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.4N 63.7W 43 X X X 43 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 7 8
34.8N 65.2W 15 10 X 1 26 PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 6 7
36.5N 66.0W 1 11 4 3 19 NANTUCKET MA X X 1 7 8
BERMUDA 36 X X X 36 HYANNIS MA X X 1 7 8
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X X 3 3 BOSTON MA X X X 6 6
NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3 PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4
OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 5 6 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 3 3
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 5 6 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 6 7 YARMOUTH NS X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM SUN TO 8AM MON
C FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
D FROM 8PM MON TO 8PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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