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HURRICANE ERIN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 28
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 09 2001
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERIN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST WED SEP 12 2001
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
34.1N 65.0W 52 X X X 52 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 5 5
35.7N 66.0W 19 9 X X 28 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 5 5
37.0N 66.0W 2 15 2 2 21 NANTUCKET MA X X 1 5 6
BERMUDA 62 X X X 62 HYANNIS MA X X X 5 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 1 2 BOSTON MA X X X 4 4
NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 3 4 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 2 2
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 4 4 YARMOUTH NS X X X 2 2
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM MON TO 2PM MON
C FROM 2PM MON TO 2AM TUE
D FROM 2AM TUE TO 2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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